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Welcome to the New York City Metro Weather Blog. I am Danny and I am 22 years old. Here, you will find daily forecasts for the NYC/LI, NJ, PA, and CT areas. I will post model images when it's pertinent. I will sometimes delve into the long-range, so if you something coming up, you can get an idea of what the weather will be like. I will post historical weather events from time to time that have affected my home of Long Island. Sometimes, I will go on a rant. But you can always count on the New York City Metro Weather Blog!
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Thunderstorms today?
Currently, we have a shortwave approaching from the G/L treking eastward with an associated cold front. Most of the convection so far has been confined to PA and western NJ this afternoon. As this convection heads east, it will encounter very dry air in the low levels, as dewpoints are in the 40's and 50's. That will help to inhibit the convection as well as the intensity of the convection. Soundings indicate that the storms could produce microburst wind gusts and hail. Shear looks great, with about 60 knots of bulk shear, but very little instability due to the dry air and low moisture content. So straight line winds can be expected with the strongest storms as the front marches eastward.
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